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A research workshop on markets, in the open.
Not signals. Not “buy here, sell there.” This is the work of trying to understand why markets do what they do at the structural level — written down honestly, with the evidence attached, so you can build your own way of operating instead of copying someone else’s.
What you’ll find
Essays
Theses on how markets and complex systems actually work. The thinking, in full.
Journal
Dated market notes — what I'm watching this week and this month, and why.
Research
Full research runs with the raw workings and an evidence level on every claim.
Postmortems
Things that failed, taken apart honestly. The most useful writing here.
Methods
How the work gets done — frameworks, checklists, and process, not promises.
The Wiki
A connected encyclopedia of trading concepts — indicators, structure, derivatives, philosophy — each classified and evidence-rated.
How to read it
Every claim here carries an evidence level, from E0 (raw, verifiable data) down to E5 (speculation, flagged as such). The level doesn’t say whether an idea is interesting — it says how good the evidence behind it is. The point is never to hide weak claims, but to never let a weak one wear the clothes of a strong one.
The evidence levels, in full