Emergence

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Trading from First Principles

A sequential path through the knowledge graph. Each module builds on the previous — start at M0 and follow the connections.

M0

What Is Trading, Really

Pragmatism over theory, empirical verification, epistemic humility.

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M1

How Markets Work

Market as process, price as record, complex systems, emergence, feedback loops.

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M2

Price Action Fundamentals

Candlestick anatomy, market structure, support/resistance, multi-timeframe.

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M3

Volume and Order Flow

Volume profiles, OBV, VWAP, order flow interpretation.

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M4

Indicators as Lenses

Technical indicators as filters, not signals. Three categories of lenses.

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M5

Market Regimes

Trending vs ranging, volatility regimes, macro environment identification.

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M6

Risk Management

Asymmetry of loss, fixed fractional sizing, survival vs growth tension.

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M7

Derivatives Foundations

Futures, options, Greeks, and their role in market analysis.

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M8

Statistical Thinking

Base rates, distributions, significance testing, and quantitative reasoning.

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M9

Psychology and Decision Making

Cognitive biases, emotional regulation, and decision frameworks.

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M10

Building a Strategy

Setup anatomy: context filter + trigger + confirmation + target.

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M11

Backtesting and Validation

Testing methodology, overfitting, walk-forward analysis, review cycles.

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M12

The Meta-Game

Building your model: asset, timeframe, schedule, indicators, setups, documentation.

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